Buffon's needle problem
Question
Suppose we have a floor made of parallel strips of wood, each the same width, and we drop a needle onto the floor. What is the probability that the needle will lie across a line between two strips?
(Quoted from Wikipedia)
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(Source: Wikipedia)
Experiments
You need: handout, 10 sticks of length 10cm per group
- Pick a bunch of 10 sticks, throw it on the handout.
- Record the number of stickes that touch any parallel line in the column of "touched". Then write 10 in the column of "needles".
- Repeat the previous two steps for 10 times.
- Compute the sum of "touched" and sum of "needles". Then exam the estimated probability.
- If there are several groups, we may combine the data together.
Intuition
Each stick falling on the paper has two parameter controlling it:
- The distance between the stick center to the shortest parallel line.
- The angle of the stick.
Using the distance as the -axis and the angle as the -axis, we are able to draw a rectangle–-this is the sample space. For each point on the sample space, identify the point such that the corresponding stick configuration make it touch a parallel line. Then we may use the area to compute the probability.
More questions to think about
- For each point on the sample space, determine if it corresponding to a stick that touch a parallel line.
- Describe the set by a function.
- Use integration to caculate the area and the probability.
- Now can you explain why an event can still happen even if its probablity is zero?
Resources
- YouTube: Buffon's needle problem by Jephian Lin