Ray 虛擬貨幣小白
    • Create new note
    • Create a note from template
      • Sharing URL Link copied
      • /edit
      • View mode
        • Edit mode
        • View mode
        • Book mode
        • Slide mode
        Edit mode View mode Book mode Slide mode
      • Customize slides
      • Note Permission
      • Read
        • Only me
        • Signed-in users
        • Everyone
        Only me Signed-in users Everyone
      • Write
        • Only me
        • Signed-in users
        • Everyone
        Only me Signed-in users Everyone
    • Invite by email
      Invitee

      This note has no invitees

    • Publish Note

      Share your work with the world Congratulations! 🎉 Your note is out in the world Publish Note No publishing access yet

      Your note will be visible on your profile and discoverable by anyone.
      Your note is now live.
      This note is visible on your profile and discoverable online.
      Everyone on the web can find and read all notes of this public team.

      Your account was recently created. Publishing will be available soon, allowing you to share notes on your public page and in search results.

      Your team account was recently created. Publishing will be available soon, allowing you to share notes on your public page and in search results.

      Explore these features while you wait
      Complete general settings
      Bookmark and like published notes
      Write a few more notes
      Complete general settings
      Write a few more notes
      See published notes
      Unpublish note
      Please check the box to agree to the Community Guidelines.
      View profile
    • Commenting
      Permission
      Disabled Forbidden Owners Signed-in users Everyone
    • Enable
    • Permission
      • Forbidden
      • Owners
      • Signed-in users
      • Everyone
    • Suggest edit
      Permission
      Disabled Forbidden Owners Signed-in users Everyone
    • Enable
    • Permission
      • Forbidden
      • Owners
      • Signed-in users
    • Emoji Reply
    • Enable
    • Versions and GitHub Sync
    • Note settings
    • Note Insights New
    • Make a copy
    • Transfer ownership
    • Delete this note
    • Save as template
    • Insert from template
    • Import from
      • Dropbox
      • Google Drive
      • Gist
      • Clipboard
    • Export to
      • Dropbox
      • Google Drive
      • Gist
    • Download
      • Markdown
      • HTML
      • Raw HTML
Menu Note settings Note Insights Versions and GitHub Sync Sharing URL Create Help
Create Create new note Create a note from template
Menu
Options
Make a copy Transfer ownership Delete this note
Import from
Dropbox Google Drive Gist Clipboard
Export to
Dropbox Google Drive Gist
Download
Markdown HTML Raw HTML
Back
Sharing URL Link copied
/edit
View mode
  • Edit mode
  • View mode
  • Book mode
  • Slide mode
Edit mode View mode Book mode Slide mode
Customize slides
Note Permission
Read
Only me
  • Only me
  • Signed-in users
  • Everyone
Only me Signed-in users Everyone
Write
Only me
  • Only me
  • Signed-in users
  • Everyone
Only me Signed-in users Everyone
  • Invite by email
    Invitee

    This note has no invitees

  • Publish Note

    Share your work with the world Congratulations! 🎉 Your note is out in the world Publish Note No publishing access yet

    Your note will be visible on your profile and discoverable by anyone.
    Your note is now live.
    This note is visible on your profile and discoverable online.
    Everyone on the web can find and read all notes of this public team.

    Your account was recently created. Publishing will be available soon, allowing you to share notes on your public page and in search results.

    Your team account was recently created. Publishing will be available soon, allowing you to share notes on your public page and in search results.

    Explore these features while you wait
    Complete general settings
    Bookmark and like published notes
    Write a few more notes
    Complete general settings
    Write a few more notes
    See published notes
    Unpublish note
    Please check the box to agree to the Community Guidelines.
    View profile
    Engagement control
    Commenting
    Permission
    Disabled Forbidden Owners Signed-in users Everyone
    Enable
    Permission
    • Forbidden
    • Owners
    • Signed-in users
    • Everyone
    Suggest edit
    Permission
    Disabled Forbidden Owners Signed-in users Everyone
    Enable
    Permission
    • Forbidden
    • Owners
    • Signed-in users
    Emoji Reply
    Enable
    Import from Dropbox Google Drive Gist Clipboard
       Owned this note    Owned this note      
    Published Linked with GitHub
    • Any changes
      Be notified of any changes
    • Mention me
      Be notified of mention me
    • Unsubscribe
    # 🖥️網站分享 今天剛好跟身邊的朋友討論到加密貨幣市場的投資,大家都在炒小幣,而我看的卻是大盤 BTC/ETH 這其中有幾個我理由和原因我想分享出來和大家討論~ 首先大家先到 CoinGlass 網站:https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW ![圖片2](https://hackmd.io/_uploads/r1gh_qUH1x.jpg) 一進到網站就會看到密密麻麻的數字和英文,所以第一件要做的事情就是... ### 打開右上角的語言,切換到繁體中文 接著你就會看到上面一排工具列有一個「數據」 ![圖片3](https://hackmd.io/_uploads/r16b2cLBye.jpg) 裡面你會看到一堆密密麻麻的技術分析、指標、奇奇怪怪的東西。不要緊張,這邊我們先介紹 `比特幣回報率` 之後如果有機會我再分享一下其他指標的觀察方式!其實像:`交易時段熱力圖`、`現貨流入/流出`、`比特幣總市值佔比`都是不錯的圖表。 ![圖片4](https://hackmd.io/_uploads/Hk4D6qIByg.jpg) 進來你會看到一塊一塊綠綠紅紅的東西,很複雜!沒問題,帶你一步一步理解這個圖表在幹嘛!先幫我往下滑,看到 `比特幣 月回報率` 這個大圖表,裡面有 2013~2024 年 1~12 月的回報率。 ![{09C3F3A9-1A8C-419F-979A-2E7B2AB86529}](https://hackmd.io/_uploads/H14ukoUHkg.png) 簡單的判斷方式: - 綠色:賺錢 - 紅色:賠錢 圖表上方也有日、週、月、季時間軸可以做切換,左上角也有 BTC/ETH 切換。 那我們要怎麼去分析這張圖表呢?接下來我們來玩個遊戲吧! # 🏷️你的投資屬性分析 :::success 💡**先從你自己的投資個性來下手!首先幫我在下面選擇你的屬性:** - [ ] 我希望一週內就翻倍,幣價一直噴、一直噴、一直噴! - [ ] 我希望一個月翻倍,領到公司薪水的時候再投入。 - [ ] 我希望一年內放部分資產在加密貨幣市場,賺多賺少不重要,主要能賺錢就好。 選好了嗎?下面我們要公布解答了! --- 如果你選擇的是第一個選項,那麼你的屬性是:**🗡️積極投資者!** 如果你選擇的是第二個選項,那麼你的屬性是:**🛠️穩健投資者!** 如果你選擇的是第三個選項,那麼你的屬性是:**🛡️保守投資者!** ::: # 🎲投資策略參考 玩過遊戲之後可以對照以下的標題來看看你要使用哪種投資策略! ### 🗡️積極投資者 很抱歉,這張圖表沒辦法給你太多資訊,你恐怕要參考其他文章和技術分析🥲 ### 🛠️穩健投資者 幫我把圖表切換到 `BTC/月回報率` 接著將一個季度,或是至少 2 個月左右的欄位框選起來,開始計算裡面的紅色區塊和綠色區塊各占多少,最後相除就可以得到賠率/報酬率,舉例來說: ![投影片4](https://hackmd.io/_uploads/B1RQHoUSke.jpg) 看這張表格大概就可以感覺到右半邊紅色區塊好像比較多,對不對? 所以我們假設過去 12 年間第一季度 BTC 的表現就是 38% 賠率 ``` 計算公式:12 * 3 = 36塊,其中 14塊為紅色 = 14/36 = 38% 賠率 ``` 也就是說過去這 12 年間如果你有投資 BTC 第一季度,那麼你的勝率會來到 62% 看起來好像沒有很高?感覺要再提升一下勝率你才願意投入對吧?再來幫我把圖表切換成 ETH。 ![投影片5](https://hackmd.io/_uploads/rJ_7IsLHJe.jpg) 用一樣的計算公式我們可以得到: ``` 計算公式:9 * 3 = 27塊,其中 6塊為紅色 = 6/27 = 22% 賠率 ``` 也就是說過去這 9 年間如果你有投資 ETH 第一季度,那麼你的勝率會來到 78% 這麼高! 將時間線回到現在,我這篇文章撰寫日期為:2024/12/23。 也就是說如果我現在不斷埋伏這個市場,買進 ETH,我可以有十足的信心告訴你,明年 2025/ 1、2、3月會有 78% 的勝率可以賺到錢,而且報酬率以下方的平均數來說至少有20%! 那這個策略照這張圖來說可能可以每年使用,但以上策略都不屬於投資建議,僅是小弟這個 **Crypto小白** 的小小淺見,所以請鞭小力一點。 ### 🛡️保守投資者 大膽的像 Michael Saylor 持續買進 BTC 吧!對 BTC 要有信仰,區塊鏈 Web3 將會是未來很大的金融主力,關於這個問題之後再用別的文章詳細說明。這邊可以先去看看邦妮的影片彌補知識:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZSkQzVwuXz8 # 💡我的見解 過去,我也研究很多公司個股 / 基金 / 債券 / ETF 這類傳統金融的東西,也就是幣圈俗稱 Web2 的金融市場。 做了不少研究,也看了不少 Youtuber 像是:[柴鼠兄弟](https://www.youtube.com/@ZRBro)、[SHIN LI](https://www.youtube.com/@SHINLI) ... 等 原本我是一個比較保守穩健派的投資者,通常會去找一些所謂的「懶人投資」。就是找好一個投資標的就無腦放,定期定額,放 10~20 年,我覺得沒有錯,找到的標的也是像:`黃金`、`S&P500`、`TSMC`、`NVDA` 這類的,甚至 基金 / ETF 我也會選擇:`安聯收益成長 AMg7`、`元大台灣0050`、`元大高股息0056`。 但我後來去看了一些幣圈 KOL 的 Youtube 頻道,我覺得有一點我還滿認同他們的。 那就是這種長期穩定的定期定額、無腦投資,必須花 10~20 年的時間。 我後來發現這是一個弊端,怎麼可能堅持這麼久,除非我生活就真的很穩定,一成不變,再加上我不知道經過這 10~20 年他還是不是一樣屬於「好的投資標的」,這種事情要10~20年過去我才能驗證,到那時候我已經50歲了,人生不能重來。 所以我才會覺得現在看好 Crypto 就只玩 Crypto,然後從長期穩健的投資者變成短期激進的投資者。 當然我覺得這算是我最近關注幣圈學習到的新觀點和想法,先不要把話說死,搞不好可以同時用兩種策略來玩金融也不錯哈哈哈~ # 🔗相關連結 ### ⛏️想要嚕空投 - Nodepay:https://app.nodepay.ai/register?ref=UOimglaD7F8170d - Grass:https://app.getgrass.io/register/?referralCode=RnEqBvr9ZdfTFKv ### ✏️我的文章 HackMD - 什麼是DePIN?:https://hackmd.io/@RayZhao1010/rJ2HLIG70 - 投資虛擬貨幣的共識:https://hackmd.io/@RayZhao1010/S1KIyJ57ye - 什麼是區塊鍊?:https://hackmd.io/@RayZhao1010/SJB0N6X7R ### ⭐我追蹤的 Youtuber - 墨山貓:https://www.youtube.com/@CryptoMOC - 腦哥:https://www.youtube.com/@brainbrocrypto - 區塊鏈日報:https://www.youtube.com/@blockchaindailynews - 邦妮區塊鏈:https://www.youtube.com/@BonnieBlockchain - Tony偷了你:https://www.youtube.com/@0TonyTien0

    Import from clipboard

    Paste your markdown or webpage here...

    Advanced permission required

    Your current role can only read. Ask the system administrator to acquire write and comment permission.

    This team is disabled

    Sorry, this team is disabled. You can't edit this note.

    This note is locked

    Sorry, only owner can edit this note.

    Reach the limit

    Sorry, you've reached the max length this note can be.
    Please reduce the content or divide it to more notes, thank you!

    Import from Gist

    Import from Snippet

    or

    Export to Snippet

    Are you sure?

    Do you really want to delete this note?
    All users will lose their connection.

    Create a note from template

    Create a note from template

    Oops...
    This template has been removed or transferred.
    Upgrade
    All
    • All
    • Team
    No template.

    Create a template

    Upgrade

    Delete template

    Do you really want to delete this template?
    Turn this template into a regular note and keep its content, versions, and comments.

    This page need refresh

    You have an incompatible client version.
    Refresh to update.
    New version available!
    See releases notes here
    Refresh to enjoy new features.
    Your user state has changed.
    Refresh to load new user state.

    Sign in

    Forgot password
    or
    Sign in via Google Sign in via Facebook Sign in via X(Twitter) Sign in via GitHub Sign in via Dropbox Sign in with Wallet
    Wallet ( )
    Connect another wallet

    New to HackMD? Sign up

    By signing in, you agree to our terms of service.

    Help

    • English
    • 中文
    • Français
    • Deutsch
    • 日本語
    • Español
    • Català
    • Ελληνικά
    • Português
    • italiano
    • Türkçe
    • Русский
    • Nederlands
    • hrvatski jezik
    • język polski
    • Українська
    • हिन्दी
    • svenska
    • Esperanto
    • dansk

    Documents

    Help & Tutorial

    How to use Book mode

    Slide Example

    API Docs

    Edit in VSCode

    Install browser extension

    Contacts

    Feedback

    Discord

    Send us email

    Resources

    Releases

    Pricing

    Blog

    Policy

    Terms

    Privacy

    Cheatsheet

    Syntax Example Reference
    # Header Header 基本排版
    - Unordered List
    • Unordered List
    1. Ordered List
    1. Ordered List
    - [ ] Todo List
    • Todo List
    > Blockquote
    Blockquote
    **Bold font** Bold font
    *Italics font* Italics font
    ~~Strikethrough~~ Strikethrough
    19^th^ 19th
    H~2~O H2O
    ++Inserted text++ Inserted text
    ==Marked text== Marked text
    [link text](https:// "title") Link
    ![image alt](https:// "title") Image
    `Code` Code 在筆記中貼入程式碼
    ```javascript
    var i = 0;
    ```
    var i = 0;
    :smile: :smile: Emoji list
    {%youtube youtube_id %} Externals
    $L^aT_eX$ LaTeX
    :::info
    This is a alert area.
    :::

    This is a alert area.

    Versions and GitHub Sync
    Get Full History Access

    • Edit version name
    • Delete

    revision author avatar     named on  

    More Less

    Note content is identical to the latest version.
    Compare
      Choose a version
      No search result
      Version not found
    Sign in to link this note to GitHub
    Learn more
    This note is not linked with GitHub
     

    Feedback

    Submission failed, please try again

    Thanks for your support.

    On a scale of 0-10, how likely is it that you would recommend HackMD to your friends, family or business associates?

    Please give us some advice and help us improve HackMD.

     

    Thanks for your feedback

    Remove version name

    Do you want to remove this version name and description?

    Transfer ownership

    Transfer to
      Warning: is a public team. If you transfer note to this team, everyone on the web can find and read this note.

        Link with GitHub

        Please authorize HackMD on GitHub
        • Please sign in to GitHub and install the HackMD app on your GitHub repo.
        • HackMD links with GitHub through a GitHub App. You can choose which repo to install our App.
        Learn more  Sign in to GitHub

        Push the note to GitHub Push to GitHub Pull a file from GitHub

          Authorize again
         

        Choose which file to push to

        Select repo
        Refresh Authorize more repos
        Select branch
        Select file
        Select branch
        Choose version(s) to push
        • Save a new version and push
        • Choose from existing versions
        Include title and tags
        Available push count

        Pull from GitHub

         
        File from GitHub
        File from HackMD

        GitHub Link Settings

        File linked

        Linked by
        File path
        Last synced branch
        Available push count

        Danger Zone

        Unlink
        You will no longer receive notification when GitHub file changes after unlink.

        Syncing

        Push failed

        Push successfully