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    # 人生的復利 ###### tags: `blog` ## 復利 在武漢肺炎影響全球的當下,造成全球股市不斷下跌,在美國讀研究所的我想的是「好想早點畢業賺錢」「不想錯過這個投資的機會」「抓住這個投資的機會我可能可以早好幾年達到財富自由的目標」等等。 如果你有基本投資的觀念,應該知道復利的可怕。你在20歲投資的1元,以每年成長7%來算(S&P500每年平均成長9.8%),在65歲時會成長到**21塊**。 如果你等到30歲再投資,到65歲時則會變成**10塊**。這是一個非常大的差距,而非常多的人在理財或是花錢的時候或許都沒有考慮這些。**如果今天省1塊錢拿去投資,這1塊錢會幫你賺錢,而那些賺來的錢又會幫你賺更多的錢,然後那些更多的錢又會繼續賺錢**。晚了10年投資,就造成最後10倍的差距。當我學到這件事時,我就恨不得早點畢業,早點把錢投入股市。 ## 錢以外的復利 想著問題時,也讓我聯想到,人生除了錢之外,很多事情也都是受到復利影響的。 ### 自信 舉一個例子,一個小孩如果小時候過得很順遂,他會自然而然的變成一個有自信的人,當他有自信,他就會容易交到朋友,社交方面也會順利,這會造成他更有自信,交到更多的朋友,這些朋友又會間接幫助到他,讓他人生更順利,如此一直正向循環。 反之,一個小時候沒有被霸凌,沒有朋友的人,因為缺乏社交經驗,不知道怎麼跟人交朋友,長大後朋友也不多的機率可能就更高了。 ### 學語言 當一個人學會一個語言時,尤其是英文,他會能夠在網路上得到非常多不同的資訊。(網路上中文跟英文資訊量的差距非常大,使用英文可以獲得**非常多**使用中文得不到的資訊,我想英文有一定程度的應該都有同感,基本上google查東西都是使用英文,除非要找跟台灣人相關的資訊,才會用中文) 有了這個能力,你會更了解這個語言的重要性,而重視下一代的語言教育,或許從小就跟他們說英文,或是給他們看英文的東西,延續這個復利。 更不用說,學會一個語言之後,你會掌握學習一個語言的方法,因此學習第二個,第三個語言的速度就會更快,進一步擴展你的視野。這也是復利的概念。 反之,一個只會一種語言的人,則會**無法了解語言的重要性**,覺得「我會中文就好,活在台灣英文又用不到,為什麼要浪費時間學英文」殊不知只是以他目前的知識還看不到英文的好處罷了。這會使得他們永遠學不到第二個語言。有個有趣的現象叫做[鄧寧-克魯格效應](https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E9%84%A7%E5%AF%A7-%E5%85%8B%E9%AD%AF%E6%A0%BC%E6%95%88%E6%87%89),或許有機會我會寫一篇關於這個的文章。 ### 家庭環境 一個富二代,有很高的機率從小就受到創業家思想的教育,社交圈也都是同樣階級的人,自然而然未來就會有創業家的思想,身邊也會有很多機會,有了這些資源,他也就更容易變成社會頂層的人。 反過來說,一個家境清寒或是普通的小孩,可能從小就會被父母灌輸好好讀書,找的穩定工作就好的概念,小時候缺乏開發自己的興趣與熱情的機會,於是就只是乖乖唸書,如果書讀的好,可能變成中產階級,書讀的不好,則繼續留在社會底層,但永**遠不會成為金字塔頂端的人**。 ### 把妹 凡事都有例外,自信可能變成自大,富二代可能把繼承的錢揮灑怠盡,但在把妹方面,我認為復利的影響更是明顯,例外也會更少,這和我之前介紹的一個概念有很大的關聯。 [為何不能無條件誇獎女生?真實的訊號(Honest signals)](https://www.kugelife.com/blog/honest-signals) 簡單來說,女生在評估一個男生的價值的時候,會從所謂的honest signals來看,包括一個男生的談吐,自信,說話方式以及潛在溝通等等。 一個人如果小時候很受女生歡迎,不管是因為帥,或者因為是球隊隊長而有社交認證,又或者是因為幽默感,也可能是因為運氣好。不管什麼原因,在成長過程中,有跟女生相處的經驗之後,他會比其他男生更擅長跟女生相處,也因為如此,更多女生會對他有興趣,這也會給他更多累積經驗的機會,讓他獲得更大的優勢。 反之,一個學生時代是魯蛇的人,出社會之後,繼續把不到妹的機率也更大。畢竟他完全不知道怎麼跟女生聊天才能擦出火花,而他的競爭對手,正是那些學生時代已經累積無數經驗的人,或許第一次或者第二次約會,就把女生帶回家了。而一個沒有跟女生相處經驗的人,卻只是每天傳訊息說「早安」「在幹麻」「晚安」等等無意義的訊息,要我來說,這就像1等在跟99等競爭的概念。 ## 結論 第一個可以歸納出的結論就是**萬事起頭難**。當你還是個月光足,要開始進入投資的領域非常困難,但這時你要知道,**只要你撐過這個開頭,未來就輕鬆了**,未來你的被動收入會讓你有更多的錢拿去投資,讓你累積更多財富,不斷的正向循環。 如果你剛開始搭訕把妹,一開始也會因為匱乏的心態,以及缺乏社交經驗,而不斷的失敗,但這些失敗也會成為你的經驗,你要知道,這些經驗都會用復利的方式幫助你成長,**一開始是最難的,撐過去就是美好的果實**。 另外一個你需要做的事就是盡量**多方探索**,多學習不同領域的知識和技能,年輕時最好的資產就是時間,時間會不斷的把你現在的技能用復利的方式增強,因此我們應該在年輕時多方探索,多學習不同的技能,這些東西可能會改變你的思維,也可能改變你的人生。 以一年前除了工作,健身,什麼人生目標都沒有的我來說,進入PUA這個領域讓我也接觸到了紅藥丸,自我提昇,投資,FIRE社群,網路創業,digital nomad的生活型態等等的知識,在短短不到一年的時間內,我的人生觀以及規劃已經完全改變,雖然實際的成果要慢慢累積,但因為PUA這個契機,我已經進入了不同的世界線(笑)。 希望這篇文章能給各位一個啟發,有經驗分享,或是想討論的部份,歡迎在底下留言。

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