項目研究筆記
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    --- robots: index, follow lang: zh-tw dir: ltr breaks: true theme: simple transition: slide --- <style> .reveal .slides { text-align: left; } </style> --- # 幣圈適合新手,且門檻低的收益公式 -- 一級市場 --- ## 簡介 --- 本次分享將為大家介紹幣圈散戶能夠參與的一級市場 讓大家更認識一級市場的屬性,風險,注意事項,以及其魅力所在 因為每一個一級市場種類其實都可以介紹一個小時以上 --- 這次會先廣泛介紹幾種一級市場: - 中心化交易所 Launchpad - ICO - 波卡眾貸 - 去中心化 Launchpad - ISPO 並深入探討Avalaunch上的IDO 最後再分享我個人對於一級市場的理解,操作手法,和認為目前一級市場還有什麼機會 --- ## 自我介紹 --- 阿亮(LJ) 新創的後端工程師 永續生活推廣者 喜歡研究新奇有趣的事物: - Avalanche - Near - Definity(ICP) --- 去年10月才加入幣圈的我,在賠了很多錢各種買經驗後,發現了最適合我的幣圈收益公式,一級市場 因為加入的晚,我沒有經歷過ICO熱潮 但是有玩過: 波卡眾貸,Avalanche,Near IDO Cardano ISPO,Radix ISPO,幣安 Launchpad, Bybit Launchpad 並會根據以下這些一級市場進行比較: --- ## 正文 --- ### 什麼是一級市場 初級市場(Primary Market)又稱發行市場、一級市場,在傳統金融中是處理新發行證券的金融市場。籌集資金的公司、政府或公共部門通過發行新的股票和債券來進行融資 。 目的為籌措中、長期資金,發行新債,通常此市場無固定的發行時間與地點,屬於無形的市場,發行方式隨發行目的而變。 --- ### 為什麼要參與一級市場 #### 優點 - 多賺少賠 - 不用盯盤 - 不用會操作 - 不用知道馬斯克又說了什麼 #### 缺點 - 不穩定->不是每天都有 - 要自己去找機會 --- ### 哪些人適合一級市場 符合以下特性的人恭喜你很適合一級市場: - 規律生活 - 不希望被幣圈大量的資訊打擾 - 不喜歡隨時盯盤 - 想賺錢 --- ### 如何參與一級市場 選擇一個自己比較喜歡的一級市場種類 研究它推出的項目,如果遇到覺得有機會的就投資 --- ## 名詞解釋 --- ### 買賣 ICO: Ininitial Coin Offering IDO: Ininitial DEX Offering IEO: Ininitial Exchange Offering STO: Security Token Offering ### 質押 ISPO: initial stake pool offering 波卡眾貸: 質押鎖倉波卡幣,幫助項目拍得插槽,以獲得項目代幣 --- ![](https://i.imgur.com/48tgBiY.png) [詳細資料請看](https://www.rayskyinvest.com/55197/ieo-intro) --- ### 一級市場介紹 - 中心化交易所 Launchpad - ICO - 波卡眾貸 - 去中心化 Launchpad - ISPO --- #### 中心化交易所 Launchpad 中心化交易所 - FTX - Kucoin - Binance - Bybit - AscendX --- ##### 玩法 質押一定數量的平台幣 在公佈發售的時候註冊 會依照質押平台幣的數量直接獲得購買份額或得到抽籤權重(每家不一樣) 通常要質押很大量的平台幣,所以也要看好交易所在玩會比較好 --- ![](https://i.imgur.com/pyKJmLu.png) --- ![](https://i.imgur.com/huMCh1q.png) --- 優點: - 在中心化交易所就能做,不用上區塊鏈,對新手來說很方便 - 平台方會幫項目把關,通常出來的項目表現都很好,基本上不太會有雷的(會影響平台) 缺點: - 要質押大量平台幣,有可能期間平台幣價格崩跌 - 發售時間不一定,很有可能當你看到消息時,平台幣價已經漲上去了 - 要 KYC --- #### ICO 平台:Coinlist 區塊鏈公司發行的貨幣於交易所上市之前,會先透過ICO(全稱:Initial Coin Offering)來募集資金──類似上市公司的IPO籌資方式──其中,對投資人而言,不僅能更早參與優質標的,且待上市成功之後,通常都能獲得不錯的成績。近期較知名的例子有FLOW、SOL、MINA等。 --- ![](https://i.imgur.com/pGvpAtn.png) --- 優點: - 投資報酬率最高 - 很多厲害的項目會在上面發行 缺點: - 要 KYC - 有地區限制 - 風險高(可能會買到爛幣) --- #### 波卡眾貸 波卡鏈有插槽拍賣(Kusama也有)活動,藉由使用者質押DOT幣為要拍賣插槽的項目投票,進而選出可以加入波卡生態的平行區塊鏈,而項目方會用項目Token來回饋給這些為其投票的參與者 DOT鎖倉期限兩年(Kusama一年) 通常項目方會分批把Token發給質押者(不會一次性給完) --- 通常有高倍數獲利(10x),也有很多機構參與(較穩定) 但盡量要在項目官網質押(不要用中心化交易所,因為項目官網給的福利比較好,中心化交易所可能解鎖日期到了也不能馬上解鎖) 如果看好DOT生態的話非常適合,可以把它當作ICO,兩年後還會把你花的錢還給你 YT資源: 幣圈大馬哥 Insight 財經 --- 優點: - 波卡插槽競爭激烈,基本上你能拍到的都是不錯的項目 - 有很大機會獲得額外獎勵(項目方給的) - 很多機構投入,風險相對小 缺點: - 跟IEO不同,項目有機會沒拍到插槽,等於你什麼都沒賺 - 長期鎖倉,有可能DOT幣在兩年後表現不如預期 --- #### 去中心化 Launchpad 平台 ![](https://i.imgur.com/CSWMII2.png) --- ##### Avalaunch Avalanche 區塊鏈上最大的 IDO 平台 玩法: 質押平台幣獲得購買份額 可以選擇鎖倉(3,6,12個月)來增加權重(增加可以購買的份額) 在IDO註冊期間註冊,購買期間購買 每個代幣都有不同的發放和解鎖策略(有些會分批解鎖),使用者可以在解鎖後使用Avalaunch合作的去中心化交易所(Trader joe, Dexalot)交易購買的 Token --- 去中心化性: Avalunch有以下幾個機制來防止大戶用大資金稀釋散戶權重: - 質押和解質押都要提供使用資金的 2% 給其他質押者,並且在IDO完後解質押會從 10% 開始遞減 - 單位資金購買權重會隨著資金增加而遞減(質押越多,單位資金效率越低) - 質押時間可以增加權重(忠誠度) 但因為其算法並無公開,所以不太能深入探討實際情況 --- 收益 ![](https://i.imgur.com/pJmPKEv.png) --- 想要了解更多Avalunch可以看[我寫的文章](https://medium.com/%E8%85%A6%E7%99%8C%E7%9A%84%E5%8D%80%E5%A1%8A%E9%8F%88%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E6%A8%82%E5%9C%92/avalaunch-%E4%B8%80%E7%B4%9A%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E4%B8%8A%E7%9A%84%E9%BB%91%E9%A6%AC-%E9%AB%98%E5%A0%B1%E9%85%ACido%E9%A0%85%E7%9B%AE-avalanche-%E9%A0%85%E7%9B%AE%E5%88%86%E4%BA%AB-1-c1fb47afbc16) --- 優點: - 只要挑到不錯的Launchpad,裡面的項目會由平台方先篩過,不太會有雷的 - 報酬率很好 缺點: - 可能有雷的項目->還是要DYOR - 部分平台需要 KYC - 部分平台需要鎖倉,途中可能幣價暴跌 --- #### ISPO 通過將代幣質押在與新項目合作的礦池中,可以免費空投這些項目的新代幣 直接在錢包就能進行,並且即便質押了代幣,還可以進行借貸之類的 Defi 操作(看區塊鏈, Cardano可以) 基本上是無損失白賺,當然賺的就沒有上面幾個項目多 區塊鏈: - Cardano(ADA) - Radix(XRD) --- 優點: - 基本上是白賺 - 支持區塊鏈生態(質押在節點),又能夠支持新項目和拿到代幣作為獎勵 - 可以隨時撤資不玩,不需要承擔幣價暴跌的風險 - 在錢包就能進行,非常方便 缺點: - 收益較差 - 目前有此機制的區塊鏈較少 --- ## 分析(對散戶) --- ### 優點 高報酬低風險 有些甚至是白給 資訊清晰,行程透明,不需要關注即時消息 --- ### 缺點 - 需要花很多時間研究 - 資金體量太小也不建議(至少要個十萬以上,不然 gas 和調研成本太高) - 好項目會很分散 - 平台 - 鏈 - 散戶很難做到優化收益 - 需要長時間資金鎖定 --- ### 建議玩法 如果沒太多時間研究建議使用1-2個較常發的平台就好 買完馬上等解鎖後一到兩小時內賣掉,等跌到低谷在買回來(因為初始流動性是項目方給的,通常會給的不錯,當一上市場,就會有人開始買入,當買高了之後就會砸盤,價格就會崩跌,到後期項目營運的好幣價才會慢慢漲起來) 收益和研究時間呈正相關,但很需要研究 可以組團研究,一起分享哪裡有好項目和對項目的看法 --- ![](https://i.imgur.com/3kBQ6lr.png) --- ![](https://i.imgur.com/C6qVi1M.png) --- ### 一級市場比較 ![](https://i.imgur.com/lz55Cm7.png) --- ### 總結 我認為一級市場對幣圈新手很友善,沒有什麼技術門檻,也不需要很強的能力,而且在過程中因為研究項目,會越來越了解區塊鏈和生態,所以很推薦大家一起加入一級市場的行列 --- ## 目前一級市場還有什麼機會 隨著越來越多人進入幣圈公募的一級市場 分蛋糕的人變多,能賺到的錢就越來越少 以下有幾個方式能在這樣環境下持續保持競爭力: - 向上溯源 (Hackthon: ex. DoraHack) - 向下交易 (拿到幣後的交易手法) - 投資生態基金 DAO (私募) - 發展新玩法(ex. Launchpad Aggregator ,比較不貼切的例子(parallel,mole swap)) --- ### Launchpad Aggregator Launchpad2.0 ~~租借購買份額~~ -> 代買,並由購買者承擔風險 #### 平台機制 --- ##### 用戶 - lp provider - 賺利息 - 不用花時間研究 - stake token來賺APR - buyer - 預購新項目的代幣 - 使用平台調整後的價格購買 - 當代幣發行後領出 - 承擔代幣價格波動的利潤或損失 --- ##### 平台 - 把資金用最有效率的方式投放在各個一級市場平台 - 用歷史數據和項目數據,在項目代幣未上市前給出預購定價 --- #### 優點: 每個平台的新幣發售數據都很透明,應該是可以計算出代買轉售後代幣的合理報價 平台做完資金效率最佳化和合理分配 --- ## 參考資料 [What is an IDO – Initial DEX Offering?](https://cryptopotato.com/what-is-an-initial-dex-offering-ido-how-is-it-different-than-ico-ieo/) [中一張籤秒賺近 7 萬美金!從 Star Atlas 淺談 FTX IEO 的造富效應](https://bensonsun.medium.com/%E4%B8%AD%E4%B8%80%E5%BC%B5%E7%B1%A4%E7%A7%92%E8%B3%BA%E8%BF%91-7-%E8%90%AC%E7%BE%8E%E9%87%91-%E5%BE%9E-star-atlas-%E6%B7%BA%E8%AB%87-ftx-ieo-%E7%9A%84%E9%80%A0%E5%AF%8C%E6%95%88%E6%87%89-e378ab18d89a) [TOP 7 KuCoin IEOs BY PRICE PERFORMANCE IN 2021](https://news.cryptorank.io/top-7-kucoin-ieos-by-price-performance-in-2021-%F0%9F%93%88/) [頂峰 AscendEX WTF 幣 IEO 拍賣登記:平均 93 倍報酬率的財富爆擊!](https://www.rayskyinvest.com/50060/ascendex-wtf-ieo) [低風險獲得高達 17 倍的收益 — Polkadot 波卡生態系平行鏈眾貸投資指引(Crowdloan) ](https://blog.kryptogo.com/polkadot-%E6%B3%A2%E5%8D%A1%E7%94%9F%E6%85%8B%E7%B3%BB%E5%B9%B3%E8%A1%8C%E9%8D%8A%E7%9C%BE%E8%B2%B8%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E6%8C%87%E5%BC%95-e464101fa882) [IEO 是什麼?怎麼參與?詳解風險與可參加交易所!](https://www.rayskyinvest.com/55197/ieo-intro) [【Coinlist介紹】全球最大ICO認購平台:3大特色、手續費、交易產品總整理,新手也能輕鬆搶好幣](https://earning.tw/what-is-coinlist/#:~:text=Coinlist%E6%98%AF%E8%A8%BB%E5%86%8A%E6%96%BC%E7%BE%8E%E5%9C%8B,%E5%9C%98%E9%9A%8A%EF%BC%9A%E5%9C%98%E9%9A%8A%E8%83%8C%E6%99%AF%E3%80%81%E5%9C%98%E9%9A%8A%E8%83%BD%E5%8A%9B)

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