AFE Mid Term
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    提醒易错: 在判断 Arbitrage-free asset price的时候,对于有线性关系的情况(比如画图时两点合一的情况), 3-states, 3-assets但非linearly independent, 其中A1是bond, 画出(q2,q3)的图,只有q1=1限定好以后,q2和q3是一条线上,否则应该是照常的一片区域。 多个asset画图, Fix 一个的价格,画出截面;或者线性关系+整区域. Incomplete, 对于no-trade,要注意endowment和asset的payoff的对应,直接用某一个agent的消费求解,而不是aggregation. 推导quadratic的represent的时候(包括CARA),注意对应关系! c=e-θq的时候,把加减号想对. 所有agent的util function 一样并不代表 represent的utilfunc也是那样的,需要自己aggregate Euler Equa的时候算. ### AFE-23 log 分配大法是指对log utility的agent,他们的消费是先通过$p_s$折现各期财富,然后根据系数$\beta$进行分配。 *1题,$u(c_1, c_2) = \log(c_1-1) + \log(c_2-1)$,线性关系可以变量代换为 $log(c_1') + log(c_2')$,然后aggregate,$1/e_1 * p = 1/e_2$, 这里aggregate的时候总财富会相应-1。 p = q = 1/(1+r). 2题,如果题1用常规方法解s和r的方程组,已经得到s。 这里也可以用log分配大法算出Agent 2的消费. (2/(1+r) + 1)/2。 另一种操作是,from aggregation to individual, $\frac{c_k^A}{c_k^B}=折现财富比$,现在A的财富相应缩水为(2,2), B的为(1,2) 于是折现后为 2+2q, 1+2q,即(7,5), 于是B在$t_0$的消费 5/12 * (2+1) = 5/4, 这里需要注意A的财富得用缩水后的。可能犯的错误是 5/12 * (3+1)! 或者7:5算错。 启示是有aggregation的log,不同agent,在各期消费比值是一样的,总根据他们的折现财富来分配总财富。 *3题,常规做法是解S, r方程组. 是否可以不同期限人格分裂?重整为 planner的视角, $\log c_1 + \log c_2$, $c_1 + c_2$,财富变为 (3, 3) (1, 3). 线性utility 可以 read off. 4题,期限可分离,相当于从t=2开始的, arrow-debreu sec $u_2' p_s= u_3'$. *10题,线性utility可直接看出$p_s$. *11题,用log分配大法,Agent A的$c_0 = 1/3 * 10 = 10/3$, 再算出Agent B的$c_0$,然后可以通过aggregate算出价格,或者用p折现,$\frac{10p+10p}{4} * 2 = 10 - 10/3$ *12题,Aggregate后相比得到 p1/p2 = e2/e1. 当我打算再次使用(单纯版)log分配大法的时候失败了。可能源于endowment的不对称。Re:原来的log分配大法是基于certainty的,包含了一些退化随机情况(即pi,e一样的可以合并的情况)。真正的log分配奥义应该是以state price $p_s$作为折现!而不是所有都用(1+r). 对于这道题,状态1和2的系数一样,因而消费的现值一样,所以$p_1e_1=p_2e_2$, 再结合bond价格即可。 13题,representative agent,根据$e_s$推测$p_s$. 14题,计算$p_s$,计算$\phi_s$ *15题,2状态的Sharpe ratio只可能是 -MPR, 0, MPR(因为两状态的corr情况为-1,0,1), 根据$-cov(\phi, R)$判断符号即可。因为$\phi$ 和 $e$ 的负相关关系,可通过 $e_s$ 和 $A_s$ 相关性判断。(1/4, 1) (2, 1) 方向相反因而SR为负。 ### AFE-22 1题,线性utility 2题,log分配大法 3题,可以视做相邻两期ADS(Arrow-Debreu Security),算出来的价格是当期的价格,根据情况可以discount到t=0. 7题,用p折现, t0消费占总的2/3, (p*30*2 + 60)*2/3 = 60 *11题,又是线性utility带来的好处,可以确定$c_1$之比,因为$p_1 = \frac{1}{4c_1^A}, \frac{1}{2c_1^B}$,根据endowment确定了c再回代就可以求出p。

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