# Ask for more understanding about conditional variance I would like to understand more about the **conditional variance** of jointly normal distribution $$ \mathbf{var} [X|Y=y] = \sigma_X^2(1-\rho_{XY}) $$ What can we learn form this elegant formula? Some of my observations are: - The conditional variance is constant with respect to $Y=y$ given - When $X$ and $Y$ are uncorrelated, $X$ behaves as it is alone. So the conditional variance is the same as the marginal variance ![](https://i.imgur.com/PJlxNjt.png =100x) - When $X$ and $Y$ are fully correlated the conditional variance is **zero**. - Being fully correlated means $X$ and $Y$ are in perfect linearity. So once $Y$ is determined, $X$ is determined; no *broadening* for $X$. ![](https://i.imgur.com/cO9AQOv.png =100x) The physical meaning of edge cases above is clear. How about the intermediate regime?