# Simulation Results

[ToC]

## Configuration

| Population | $\approx 2.3 \times 10^7$ (Population of Taiwan) |
| -------------------- |:----------------------------------------------------------:|
| Vaccine Rollout rate | 100000 doses per day |
| Pre-vaccination | 14 Days |
| Runs | 10 runs per scenario |
| States | [全都有(看這篇)](https://hackmd.io/2yiZ1Mi_Q3WhFDZZixjzow) |

## Virus

1. COVID-19 原始病毒株
2. Omicron Variant

## Initial Infectors

1. 萬華事件

## Vaccination Strategies

1. Greedy
1. infection probability
2. Death probability
3. YLL
2. Ordinary
1. elder first (age $\ge 60$)
2. teenager first (age $0 \sim 20$)
3. Taipei first
4. Kaohsiung first
5. Random
6. No Vaccine

## Results

### 原始病毒株

#### Infection

| Strategy | Average Infected Number | Reduced (Percentage) |
|:----------------------------:|:-----------------------:|:--------------------:|
| No Vaccine |4203120.6 | x |
| age 0~20 first |1079568.24|74.31507818|
| age $\geq$ 60 first |1190277.92|71.68109047|
| Taipei first |1153400.32|72.55847667|
| Kaohsiung first |1198693.4|71.48087067|
| greedy: Infected probability |1.6|99.99996193|
| greedy: Death probability |2.16|99.99994861|
| greedy: YLL |2.8|99.99993338|
| Random |1158956.4|72.42628727|

#### Death

| Strategy | Average Death Number | Reduced (Percentage) |
|:----------------------------:|:-----------------------:|:--------------------:|
| No Vaccine |879084.4| x |
| age 0~20 first |200497.8|77.19242885|
| age $\geq$ 60 first |215564.2|75.47855473|
| Taipei first |212302.8|75.84955438|
| Kaohsiung first |224585.2|74.4523734|
| greedy: Infected probability |4|99.99954498|
| greedy: Death probability |2.4|99.99972699|
| greedy: YLL |3.6|99.99959048|
| Random |215602.2|75.47423205|
#### Figures
| Strategy | Fig |
|:----------------------------:|:---:|
| No Vaccine ||
| age 0~20 first ||
| age $\geq$ 60 first ||
| Taipei first ||
| Kaohsiung first ||
| greedy: Infected probability ||
| greedy: Death probability ||
| greedy: YLL | |
| Random ||

### Omicron

#### Infection

| Strategy | Average Infected Number | Reduced (Percentage) |
|:----------------------------:|:-----------------------:|:--------------------:|
| No Vaccine |4709075.88| x |
| age 0~20 first |3563691.84|24.32290473|
| age $\geq$ 60 first |3646284.16|22.56900817|
| Taipei first |3609031.84|23.36008313|
| Kaohsiung first |3626103.56|22.9975551|
| greedy: Infected probability |13.4|99.99971544|
| greedy: Death probability |12.6|99.99973243|
| greedy: YLL |13.08|99.99972224|
| Random |3623691.16|23.04878383|

#### Death

| Strategy | Average Death Number | Reduced (Percentage) |
|:----------------------------:|:-----------------------:|:--------------------:|
| No Vaccine |501490| x |
| age 0~20 first |396907.4|20.85437397|
| age $\geq$ 60 first |323405.8|35.51101717|
| Taipei first |370428.4|26.13443937|
| Kaohsiung first |375220.8|25.17880715|
| greedy: Infected probability |2.8|99.99944166|
| greedy: Death probability |3.2|99.9993619|
| greedy: YLL |1.8|99.99964107|
| Random |375234.4|25.17609524|
#### Figures
| Strategy | Fig |
|:----------------------------:|:---:|
| No Vaccine ||
| age 0~20 first ||
| age $\geq$ 60 first ||
| Taipei first ||
| Kaohsiung first ||
| greedy: Infected probability ||
| greedy: Death probability ||
| greedy: YLL ||
| Random ||