# Meeting Note 5/18
###### tags: `meeting note`

## Configuration

| Population | $\approx 2.3 \times 10^5$ ($1 \over 100$ Population of Taiwan) |
| -------------------- |:--------------------------------------------------------------:|
| Virus | Covid-19 原始病毒株 |
| Vaccine Rollout rate | 1% of population per day (2300 doses) |
| Runs | 100 runs per strategy |
| States | SVEIR |
| Vaccine Waning | No |

## Infection

| Strategy | Average Infected Number | Reduced (Percentage) |
|:----------------------------:|:---------------------:|:--------------------:|
| No Vaccine | 230106.77 | x |
| age 0~20 first | 185863.96 | 19.22 |
| age $\geq$ 60 first | 189646.69 | 17.58 |
| greedy: Infected probability | 1854.26 | 99.19 |

| Strategy | Fig |
|:----------------------------:|:------------------------------------:|
| No Vaccine |  |
| age 0~20 first |  |
| age $\geq$ 60 first |  |
| greedy: Infected probability |  |

## Death

| Strategy | Total Infected Number | Reduced (Percentage) |
|:----------------------------:|:---------------------:|:--------------------:|
| No Vaccine | 9622.87 | x |
| age 0~20 first | 8235.77 | 14.41 |
| age $\geq$ 60 first | 5459.73 | 43.26 |
| greedy: Infected probability | 65.79 | 99.31 |

| Strategy | Fig |
|:----------------------------:|:------------------------------------:|
| No Vaccine |  |
| age 0~20 first |  |
| age $\geq$ 60 first |  |
| greedy: Infected probability |  |

## Discussion

- 平行化怎麼做
- infect prob 的延伸
- 加noise
- $E(X)=E(f_\sigma(X))$
- 使用數天前的order
- 動機: 原本的vaccine strategy miss掉了甚麼

## TODO in two weeks
- vacc strat
- City first (e.g. Taipei first, Kaohsiung first)
- Random
- other age group
- other Greedy
- High Death probability first
- High YLL first
- [data](https://ws.moi.gov.tw/Download.ashx?u=LzAwMS9VcGxvYWQvNDAwL3JlbGZpbGUvMC8xNDY2OC9jZGE0MTNiNS1lZDc2LTRjODgtOWZhNy03YjIwNWIyMDFiZjUucGRm&n=MTA55bm06Ie654Gj5Zyw5Y2Ad2ViLnBkZg%3D%3D&icon=..pdf)
- 76.65 66.72 56.97 47.27 37.87 29.03 20.73 13.28 7.26 7.26
- infection starting date