# Geographically targeted COVID-19 vaccination is more equitable and averts more deaths than age-based thresholds alone ###### tags: `articles` [TOC] - [Online Avalible](https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abj2099) - [Supplementary Materials](https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abj2099) - proiritize vaccations depending on - [mortality](14) - [risk of transmission](15,16) - [age](17,18) - [comorbidities, occupations](14,16,19-21) ## Introduction - Vaccine prioritization based solely on age may have exacerbated racial/ethnic inequities because BIPOC populations are younger, more likely to be infected at younger ages, and at higher risk of dying from COVID-19 at all ages. - Prioritizations that consider other dimensions of risk alongside age may more effectively target those at greatest risk of COVID-19 death while reducing racial and ethnic inequities. - Geographic targeting may be more practical. - Compare strategies based on age, race and ethnicity, and alternative measures of geographic risk. ## Results - Age-based prioritization alone results in substantial racial and ethnic disparities in averted deaths ![](https://i.imgur.com/CbmWdiv.png) ![](https://i.imgur.com/zXAUoGa.png) ![](https://i.imgur.com/XOuFldm.png) - Geographic prioritization based on area-level deprivation improves equity and averts more deaths - Universal adult vaccination in the highest-mortality neighborhoods can improve equity and avert more deaths - Directly identify Census tracts with historically higher COVID-19 mortality. - Prioritizing high-mortality tracts would also markedly increase vaccine access for BIPOC communities. - Universally lowering the age of eligibility averts fewer deaths and is less equitable than selectively lowering eligibility age ## MATERIALS AND METHODS - Mortality data: deaths occurring in 2020 - Geographic disadvantage: ADI and metropolitan status ### Mortality data - California - 24880 - Minnesota - 2584 ### Geographic disadvantage - ADI - metropolitan status - Census tracts - California - 8057 - Minnesota - 1338 ### Statistical analysis $$ M_{i,a}=\frac{D_{i,a}}{N_{i,a}}\cdot w_{i,a}\cdot 100,000 $$ where - $i$ is the geographic group - $a$ is the age grooup - $D_{i,a}$ is a count of COVID-19 deaths - $N_{i,a}$ is a count of population - $w_{i,a}$ is a weight for different senarios - $1$ as default