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## Modelling the evolution of sea lice to resist treatment using SLIM
:fish::bug: :pill: :chart_with_upwards_trend:
The SLIM team:
Sara Jakubiak, Debby Lipschutz, Enrico Trombetta, Sara Kutkova, Anthony O'Hare, Jess Enright
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Sea lice are parasites of salmonids, and can be an economic and welfare problem for salmon aquaculture:
sea lice | cages
:-------------------------:|:-------------------------:
 | 
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Sea lice have a number of life stages. At some they move in the water and at some they are attached to fish.

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| One sea loch may have a number of farms, and we know about the water flow between them. | |
|-|-|
Farms within one management area are meant to coordinate treatment.
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We modelled
- Fish growth :fish:
- Lice life cycle, infestation, reproduction :bug:
- Treatment with several treatment options :pill: :fish: :bath:
- Evolution to treatment with EMB (a common chemical treatment) 🧬
- Coordination of treatment in several pre-set ways :handshake:
- An external lice reservoir that changes only in genetics
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Treatment with several options:
emamectin benzoate

(https://www.msd-animal-health-hub.co.uk/)
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Mechanical treatment: thermolicer

(https://www.salmonscotland.co.uk/facts/faqs/innovation/what-is-a-thermolicer)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnT6ihN1TaY
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Cleaner fish - wrasse and lumpfish:

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Modelling treatment effectiveness:
- chemical: 1 - resistance
- mechanical: number fit from government reports
- cleaner fish: inverse exponential from a paper on Norwegian sea lice modelling
Important parameters from Aldrin et al. 2017
**We only model resistance to chemical**
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Genetic model for resistance:
- simple heterozygous dominant resistance mechanism
- no fitness cost to resistance
- Homozygote resistant *more* resistant than heterozygote
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Treatment coordination policies:
Overall idea is that when any farm in a management area exceeds a lice threshold, then all farms in the area treat.
We model:
- Far too much/little treatment
- simple defection: a probability $p$ that each farm ignores instruction
- different styles of rotation
- fixed order
- random choice
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Results: too/little much treatment

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Results: high/low cooperation

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Results: high/low cooperation

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Results: fixed vs random rotation

**Very little difference**
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Results: different positions in network:

Left to right: most to least connected
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Results: impact of network shape

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Takeaway messages:
- treatment coordination and network characteristics can impact lice numbers and resistance
- full cooperation not necessarily best if it leads to more overall treatment
We should consider these when devising treatment systems!
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We have many ideas for future work:
- climate change
- more complex genetics
- more complex coordination
- strategy optimisation
- larger scale
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Future ideas: Resistance to more treatments

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Future ideas: larger scale

(https://blogs.gov.scot/marine-scotland/2020/03/30/new-reports-looking-at-sea-lice-dispersal-around-scotland/)
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Thanks!
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https://github.com/resistance-modelling/slim
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