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# System prepended metadata

title: Panademic effects

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# Panademic effects

## Society
-  Places will shutdown if hospitals get full
-  Hospital full will depend on vaccine efficacy in reducing severity of virus
-  Also depends on how contagious virus is, as fast people get infected will cause a spike

Info: https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/
Metrics: hospitals  - find a data source - Eurpoe / US
- maybe UK because it has africa exposure and NHS is pretty good a telling how quickly their beds are filling?
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-states
- UK Hospitalisations (leading indicator) https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/uk-daily-covid-admissions
- Multiple countries hospitalisations
https://ourworldindata.org/covid-hospitalizations
- Accererate the rise in importance of gaming, digital identities, online clout if lock downs, stay home orders start to increase

## Market
- Creates a larger inflationary push, difficult to raise rates if everyone is suffering
    - Market is probably already expecting the FED to start printing again, if it doesn't due to inflation fears, the market could react very negatively
    - Can tell from the yield curve (forward pricing of interest)
        - (bond yields fell across the curve, i.e risk off, people expect the future interest rates to be lower)

- what is the effect on Crypto?
    - Does this cement Bitcoin as the inflation trade?
        - Stop loss trade on bitcoin?
    - Could also be a risk-off event crashing the crypto market
        - get rid of small coins which could draw down 90% in any risk off scenario


