--- tags: Probability --- # Further Topics on RVs: Conditional Expectation and Variance Revisited by AWfulsome --- Two useful probability laws: * Law of iterated expectations $$ E[E[X|Y]] = E[X] $$ * Law of total variance $$ \mathrm{var}(X) = E[\mathrm{var}(X|Y)] + \mathrm{var}(E[X|Y]) $$ ### More on Conditional Expectation * $E[X|Y = y]$ in fact can be viewed as *a function of $Y$*, because its value depends on the value $y$ of $Y$. * Is $E[X|Y]$ a random variable? * What is the expected value of $E[X|Y]$? :::spoiler Example ![](https://i.imgur.com/UXSC65I.png) ![](https://i.imgur.com/MmVwJDx.png) :::