# KateBets (October 19, 2019 Edition)

Look, everyone loses. Including me -- dear god have you seen my awful ass fantasy team? Thankfully, God has decided to not let me get too big for my britches, as I went 2-3 this week betting wise. At least I didn't go 0-5 (god what was I thinking with Colorado). Anyways, that brings this year's mark to 16-9, which is still pretty fucking good against the spread.

Enough yammering though; time for picks.

**Rice (-3) at UTSA**

_Reason_: A low tier Texas FBS game is where we start, and I will get this out of my system as soon as possible; my confidence is 7 out of 10 with Rice. I know, I know, the Owls are 0-6 this year and I hear you already. "It's Rice!" you say. "An FBS bottom-dweller," you cry out in pain. Both of these are true, but Rice has been more competitive than their record shows; they only lost by 8 to an undefeated Baylor squad, "only" lost by 20 to Wake Forest, and kept things relatively close with Army. UTSA is in a similar boat, but against common opponents, they fare worse every time; the Roadrunners lost 63-14 to Baylor, lost 31-13 to Army, and lost 33-14 to UAB. I like Rice to not only get their first win this year -- god knows Wiley Green deserves it -- but also to cover.

**Louisiana (-6) at Arkansas State**

_Reason_: One can never be totally sure what the Cajuns are Ragin about. Some say they were kicked out of Canada a long time ago. Others posit it's because that Louisiana has seven months of humid swamp ass every year. Either way, I don't wanna play this team; they lost 17-7 to Appalachian State last week, but App State is a Sun Belt winner. That can't be said for Arkansas State, who since taking now ranked SMU to the wire to start the year, seem to be on a downswing. They put up nothing against Georgia, only won by 13 against FCS Southern Illinois, gave up 43 in a one-possession win against not Neal Brown Troy, and were recently downed by improving Georgia State. Take the Cajuns on the road and a touchdown. Maybe more.

**Kansas (+22.5) at Texas**

_Reason_: I swear to god if one of you makes the "LEL REMEMBER WHEN KANSAS BEAT TEXAS" meme I will rip your eyes straight from your face. Memes aside though, Kansas is a very strange team this year, as Les Miles in his first year has slowed things way down to make up for a lack of talent. Yet, despite this, Kansas is actually fairly efficent on offense all things considered, even if they did just fire their offensive coordinator. They aren't good, but they are respectable with a mark of 40th in yards per play nationally. Texas though, is overhyped. A late TD made their game with OU look better than it actually was, as the Sooners were clearly more dominant that game. While Kansas won't win this game, I do think they'll frustrate Texas enough to keep it within the spread and earn a moral victory at least.

**Wisconsin (-30) at Illinois**

_Reason_: This is the most straightforward pick this week; Wisconsin is 4-1 against the spread and has posted three shutouts to open this year. Illinois made a comeback attempt against Michigan, but thus far, it's the same ol same ol for the Illini. Dogfights against UConn and Eastern Michigan do not suggest that this team will be capable of staying within 30 points of a UW team that looks like a national title contender.

**Boise State (-6) at BYU**

_Reason_: If you had told me there was a college football team in 2019 that had not started a black quarterback, I probably would have told you that you were full of shit, promptly following it with, "well, is it BYU?" Turns out, it is! Jaren Hall broke that dubious streak last week after regular starter Zach Wilson had to have surgery on his hand. Hall led the Cougars with 148 yards passing and 83 yards rushing, but those are stats a QB generally has in a loss. Guess what? Yeah, they lost. To South Florida no less. Even worse; they were up 23-14 at the start of the 4th. Yikes. Although Boise State lost starter Hank Bachmeier against Hawaii, backup Chase Cord looked equal to the task and they crushed a decent Hawaii squad. Hard to imagine Boise State not winning by at least a TD in this game.

**Tulane vs. Memphis (over 61)**

_Reason_: So that shit I said about Memphis having a Dardanelles Gun against Temple's brick wall defense last week? Forget it. All of it. I never said it. Okay, I did, but I promise this is a good one this week. Besides, Memphis put up 28 on Temple's defense; more than anyone else has this entire year. Tulane also has a very good offense, scoring 35+ in all games but one this year. Both of these teams are also top 25 in the nation in points per play and have hit the over more times than not this year. The only mitigating factor is both of these teams can stop someone when needed, but this game has the feel of a track meet.

###### tags: bets