# My Crypto Plan

This is the plan.

## Main Risks
- Regulatory
- Technological

## Market Behavior

Phase 0 - Depression:
- Bear market (portifolio allocation)

Phase 1 - Optimism:
- BTC/ETH increase price and market cap
- Altcoins in accumulation

Phase 2 - Elphoria:
- BTC/ETH indecision
- Altcoins starts Pump

Phase 3 - Complacency:
- BTC/ETH reduce price and market cap
- Altcoins starts Dump

## Cap Allocation

Phase 0 - Depression:
- Portifolio allocation (strong buy)

Phase 1 - Optimism:
- Buy BTC/ETH (soft buy - follow the trend)

Phase 2 - Elphoria:
- Convert BTC/ETH to DAI, buy Altcoins

Phase 3 - Complacency:
- Exit market strategy

## Exit Market Strategy

### Signals

1) Social trends (bitcoin/shiba) irrational.
2) Mayer overbought.
3) Bitcoin sentiment = extreme greed.
4) EMA < 8.

### Rules

- Altcoins - if (gain > 100%) then partial exit
- BTC/ETH - Convert up to R$35k in DAI
- Convert all to DAI on all signals

### Actions

Phase 2 - Possible Elphoria:
- Convert BTC/ETH (limit R$35k/m) in DAI.

Phase 3 - Possible Complacency:
- Convert BTC/ETH (limit R$35k/m) in DAI.
- Social trends (bitcoin/shiba) + mayer overbought.

## Portifolio Allocation
- Mayer oversold
- Social trends (bitcoin)
- BTC volume increasing

## Allocation

- BTC/ETH/DOT (70%)
- Crypto Macro Oportunities (30%)