this-is-fine_custom-dcb93e90c4e1548ffb16978a5a8d182270c872a9-s1200-c85
13 min read
"[We] were spending much of each day trudging to each other’s offices to complain about the crazy deals – characterized by low returns, high risk for investors, and a lot of optionality for issuers – that were easily being brought to market. “If deals like this can get done,” we agreed, “there’s something wrong with the market.” Few people, we thought, were demonstrating prudence, discipline, value consciousness, or the ability to resist the fear of missing out. Investors are supposed to act as disciplinarians, preventing undeserving securities from being issued, but in those days, they weren’t performing that function. This signaled a worrisome state of affairs."
Howard Marks - Taking The Temperature July 10, 2023$^{[1]}$
What makes an investment investable? Or better yet, given a plethora of investments, how might you go about choosing which is best? There are many ways to analyze a potential investment - fundamentals, technicals, gut instincts - but almost all of them are ultimately guided by the same thing: historical performance. Evaluating the historical performance of an asset is one of the most common ways that we assess its quality and set future expectations. But the performance metrics used to gauge historical performance in traditional finance aren’t being used correctly by the cryptocurrency industry, which warrants reflection about their continued usage.